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INTRODUCTION
Attorneys who try business
cases have little guidance on developing and arguing
discount rates. While discount rates are often contested
issues in a variety of cases, it is difficult to find
Arkansas case law or other published legal authority
to support arguments regarding discount rates. This
is particularly true in the context of developing
a discount rate for the purpose of calculating lost
business profits or for arriving at the value of a
business using the discounted cash flow method. For
example, neither the Arkansas Model Jury Instructions
- Civil nor the leading treatise on Arkansas damages
deals specifically with the issue of developing a
discount rate for lost business profits or business
valuation. See Arkansas Model Jury Instructions
2220 (5th ed. 2005); Howard Brill, Arkansas Law of
Damages § 6-1 (5th ed. 2004). There are treatises
that deal with these issues. See, e.g., Robert
L. Dunn, Recovery of Damages for Lost Profits Lawpress
Corp. (6th ed. 2005); Shannon P. Pratt, Business Valuation:
Discounts and Premiums (2001); Shannon P. Pratt, Valuing
a Business (4th ed., McGraw-Hill, 2000). However,
as helpful as treatises like these are to evaluate
the finer points of discount rates and their components
(as well as other aspects of business valuation and
damages), attorneys and judges base their arguments
on case law. This article presents the development
of discount rates in an understandable and useable
format for the purpose of assisting courts and practitioners
as they further develop the law in this area.
DEVELOPING
A DISCOUNT RATE
Before a discount rate
is developed or evaluated, it must first be understood
what a discount rate measures. By "discount rate,"
the financial community means an annually compounded
rate at which each increment of expected income is
discounted back to its present value.1 Said another
way, it is a rate used to convert a series of future
cash flows to a single present value. This rate is
a forward-looking rate based upon the estimated returns
and is often used interchangeably with "cost
of capital" and "required rate of return."
The concept of using
a discount rate to convert expected future returns
to present value may be stated as: "Value today
always equals future cash flow discounted at the opportunity
cost of capital."2 Quite simply, a
discount rate measures expected and perceived risk
of return. Energy Capital Corp. v. United States,
302 F.3d 1314, 1333 (D.C. Cir. 2002). Using a built-up
approach to developing a discount rate requires consideration
of the following:
A great deal of time
could be spent in discussing the intricacies of the
foregoing considerations. However, that is beyond
the scope of this article, which is simply to identify
the components of a discount rate and then to discuss
their relative application to a different series of
engagements, i.e.:
Business Valuation
Commercial Damage Litigation
Personal Injury Litigation
Why
should a person care about the magnitude of the discount
rate used in the above engagements? Quite simply,
the higher the discount rate, the lower the value
of the business or loss calculations. Conversely,
the lower the discount rate, the higher the value
of the business or loss calculations. The impact of
the discount rate can vary in each type of engagement
as discussed below.
BUSINESS
VALUATION
There are three methods
used in traditional business valuation:
Asset Method
Income Method
Market Method
The focus of this article
is the Income Method. Two approaches to consider are:
(1) the capitalization of income method, and (2) the
discounted future income method. These methods are
recognized in authoritative treatises in the area
of business valuation and damage calculation, such
as those cited above in the introduction. In the first
approach, a capitalization rate is developed and then
applied to the historical income of the subject company.
A capitalization rate is the discount rate less long-term
sustainable growth. The discounted future income method
involves projecting the future income of the subject
company and then discounting that projected income
to present value. However, when employing either method,
one must develop a discount rate. The development
of the discount rate under either method would be
similar to the approaches noted in Table II. Both
of these methods would produce a valuation of $40,000,000,
as illustrated in the following table:6
If the discount rate
in the preceding model were changed from 25% to 20%,
the value would also change, because, as stated previously,
the lower the discount rate, the higher the value:
TABLE
IV - CAPITALIZED
ECONOMIC INCOME METHOD
USING A 15% CAPITALIZATION RATE
__________________________________
Year
1
Economic
income (cash flow) $
8,000,000
Divided by: Discount
rate 20% minus growth
rate 5%
(i.e., capitalization rate) 15%
Valuation of entity $53,333,333
The
illustration in Table IV results in an increase in
value of $13,333,000 simply by using a discount rate
of 20%, a difference of just five percentage points.
Thus, small changes in the discount rate can cause
large differences in the overall value, making the
development and analysis of the rate a very important
part of a case.
THE
DISCOUNT RATE IN PERSONAL INJURY CASES VS. THE DISCOUNT
RATE IN COMMERCIAL DAMAGE LITIGATION
As Professor Brill notes,
the considerations regarding the discount rate in
personal injury cases are usually limited, and considerable
discretion is given to a jury to determine the appropriate
discount rate. While expert testimony is not required
to establish the appropriate discount rate in such
cases, experts are often presented, and their testimony
is usually given great weight by the jury.
Experts on the discount
rate applicable in personal injury cases sometimes
provide similar testimony regarding the discount rate
for lost business profits or the value of a business.
However, the methodology for developing the appropriate
discount rate in personal injury cases and business
cases is markedly different. An attorney who is unaware
of these differences is not likely to effectively
present arguments against the expert who uses the
personal injury methodology in a business case. For
example, the methodology to develop a discount rate
in a personal injury case does not consider key components
of business risk. As illustrated in Table 2, the discount
rate in a business case will consider issues such
as the size of a business and the risks associated
with its specific industry, neither of which is a
consideration in the development of discount rates
in personal injury cases. Cf. Olson v. Nieman's,
Ltd., 579 N.W.2d 299 (Iowa 1998). Thus, the issues
discussed regarding business cases are significant
to the proper development of a discount rate for use
in those cases.
As Professor Brill notes
in section 6-1 of his treatise, a plaintiff in a personal
injury case will argue for a low discount rate and
a defendant will attempt to convince the fact-finder
why a higher discount rate is more appropriate. Howard
Brill, Arkansas Law of Damages § 6-1 (5th ed.
2004). The reason for these competing strategies is
obvious: The lower the discount rate, the higher the
award of future earnings. These same competing strategies
are also present in the business case. However, while
argument has its place, attorneys in business cases
often find themselves on the plaintiff's side in one
case and then on the defendant's side in another case.
Indeed, it is not uncommon in a business case for
there to be claims, counterclaims, cross-claims, and
third-party claims in the same case. That type of
alignment of parties and claims makes it all the more
important to establish the basic considerations for
the development of discount rates in business cases.
The proper use of these considerations to develop
an appropriate discount rate will result in fair and
just damage awards. In addition, in the event a damage
award appears to be the result of passion or prejudice,
the considerations in this article can assist the
courts in reviewing such awards against objective
criteria related to the discount rate.
IDENTIFYING
THE PROPER
STANDARD OF VALUE: FAIR VALUE VS. FAIR MARKET VALUE
Fair market value is
a value which assumes what a hypothetical willing
buyer would pay a hypothetical willing seller. Rev.
Rul. 59-60, 1959-1 C.B. 237. In contrast, fair value
"is determined by ascertaining all assets and
liabilities of the business and the intrinsic value
of its stock rather than merely appraising its market
value." Crismon v. Crismon, 72 Ark. App.
116, 121-122, 34 S.W.3d 763, 767 (2000) (Griffen,
J., dissenting) (citing American Gen. Corp. v.
Camp, 190 A. 225,228 (Md. 1937)). The distinctions
between fair value and fair market value are important
in business valuation cases using the discounted cash
flow method because, as discussed below, the considerations
for the development of a discount rate may be more
focused to specific narrow issues if fair value is
the standard. See Shannon P. Pratt, Valuing a business
32 (McGraw-Hill, 4th ed. 2000).
Arkansas cases are undecided
on whether fair market value or fair value is the
appropriate value for use in business cases. In the
case of Crismon v. Crismon, the Arkansas Court
of Appeals noted that the Arkansas Supreme Court "has
explicitly approved the use of the 'fair market value'
standard for valuing closely held businesses in a
marital property division context." 72 Ark. App.
at 119, 34 S.W.3d at 765. The authors are unaware
of any reported Arkansas case which has decided that
issue in the context of other types of cases. Attorneys
should review Arkansas cases and statutes for particular
types of claims to determine whether the measure of
damage requires a determination of fair market value
or fair value because use of the incorrect standard
can render the evidence presented in support of a
discount rate meaningless.
COMMERCIAL
DAMAGE
LITIGATION
When engaged, the expert
usually has to develop: (1) the business' lost profits,
(2) the length of the damage period, and (3) the appropriate
discount rate to apply to the lost profits analysis.
In commercial damages analysis, the assessment of
the risk process is often incorporated into the discount
rate, not the income stream. The built-up discount
rate development for business valuation, as outlined
above, is an approach that assesses risk and thus
can be a starting place for development of a discount
rate for commercial damages.
One type of discount
rate that should be considered is the weighted average
cost of capital ("WACC"). When net cash
flow to all invested capital (i.e., equity + debt)
is discounted, the appropriate discount rate is the
WACC. The WACC is a blending of the rate of return
on debt (i.e., the company's borrowing rate) with
the cost of equity capital (return on the market equity
of the company). This rate incorporates the perceived
variability of risk of the projected cash flow, as
well as the risk of the return to the note holder
and equity investor, into the chosen discount rate.
Some experts believe that the return on equity of
a specific plaintiff should be used. If the return
on equity of a specific plaintiff is used, the return
on equity would be the net income after corporate
tax divided by the total equity at market value. This
would necessitate valuing the business to get the
market value of equity. Other experts consider the
after tax cost of capital to be the appropriate discount
rate. In considering any approach to the development
of a discount rate, the important principle is that
all approaches include a risk assessment which develops
a discount rate greater than the risk free rate. By
using the WACC or a suitable alternative to develop
the company's actual cost of capital, a party should
be made economically whole over time.
Whether a particular
methodology is appropriate for use in a specific case
must be determined by the facts and circumstances
of that case. For example, if the company has no debt,
it would not be appropriate to use the WACC.
Courts have held that
the determination of the appropriate discount rate
is a question of fact. See, e.g., Energy Capital
Corp. 302 F.3d at 1332. The following cases provide
a perspective on the variety of issues presented regarding
to discount rates: Energy Capital Corp. v. United
States, 302 F.3d 1314 (Fed. Cir. 2002) (10.5%
discount rate); Kool, Mann, Coffee & Co. v.
Coffey, 300 F.3d 340 (3d Cir. 2002) (growth rate
of 7.5% and discount rate of 18.5%); Purina Mills,
L.L.C. v. Less, 295 F. Supp. 2d 1017 (N.D.
Iowa 2003) (parties did not propose discount rate;
court used the U.S. Treasury Maturity Index rates);
Olson v. Nieman's, Ltd., 579 N.W.2d 299 (Iowa
1998) (19.4% discount rate including a 14.4% rate
of return for publicly held corporations and an additional
5% to reflect market risk); Munters Corp. v. Swissco-Young
Indus., Inc., 100 S.W.3d 292 (Tex. App. 2003)
(10%); Knox v. Taylor, 992 S.W.2d 40 (Tex.
App. 1999) (competing experts urged growth rates of
25% vs. 6% and discount rates of 7% vs. 30%). Some
of these cases contain detailed discussions of the
discount rate, while others contain no analysis of
the rate or the considerations leading to its development.
However, it is probably safe to generalize that court
opinions contain more detailed treatment of discount
rates when the attorneys were better prepared to develop
their arguments on that issue.
PERSONAL INJURY LITIGATION
The engagement in a
personal injury case usually includes the injured
party's annual pre-tax lost income, the time period
before returning to work or retirement, and a discount
rate. With these components, the expert develops the
present value of the injured party's losses, which
represents the amount that would make him or her whole.
When considering the
discount rate to use in these cases, there are fewer
disagreements among experts concerning the range of
appropriate rates. Most experts use a net discount
rate approach, which is the interest rate (usually
the rate of U.S. Treasury Certificates) less the rate
of inflation over a period of time. This would be
the real rate as opposed to the nominal rate. The
real rate is typically between 1% and 3%, which represents
real interest rates over a relatively long time period
in the United States.
Using the real rate
of return as the discount rate assumes that the income
stream is risk free. This may not make sense at first
blush, but a risk-free rate is the base assumption
for this type of analysis and is used by many experts
in the field.
THE
MEASURE OF DAMAGE
Attorneys should also
determine the measure of damage applicable to a claim
in a business case, because the measure of damage
may affect the development of the appropriate discount
rate. For example, if the claim is that the acts of
the defendant completely destroyed the plaintiff's
business, then the measure of damage is arguably the
value of the business as opposed to lost profits.
Ronald W. Eades, Jury Instructions in Commercial Litigation
§ 17.07 (2d. ed., Matthew Bender & Co. 2002).
The calculation of lost
profits considers profits on a company's income statement
for the appropriate period of loss and then discounts
the profits by the discount rate discussed above.
In contrast, the discounted cash flow method for valuing
a business considers the cash flow of a business and
values the business by projecting those cash flows
over an appropriate period and multiplying them by
the discount rate as discussed above. Gold v. Ziff
Commc'ns Co., 748 N.E.2d 198 (Ill. App. 2001).
The methodologies for the development of the discount
rate in assessing the business's lost profits and
its value involve different considerations. Therefore,
the measure of damages should be determined before
any attempt is made to develop the discount rate.
CONCLUSION
The development of discount
rates incorporates a significant amount of judgment
by an expert. However, there are agreed methods for
developing an appropriate discount rate and those
methods require consideration of certain known criteria.
This article is a starting point for attorneys and
judges. It identifies certain objective components
involved in the development of discount rates which
eliminate some of the unnecessary guesswork that is
often encountered in this type of engagement. Ultimately,
the development of these concepts by attorneys and
judges will improve the quality of business valuations
and damage awards that depend upon proper discount
rates.
ENDNOTES
1. Shannon P. Pratt, Cost of Capital: Estimation and
Applications 6 (2d ed. 2002).
2. Richard A. Brealey & Steward C. Myers, Principals
of Corporate Finance 73 (Irwin
McGraw-Hill, 8th ed. 2006).
3. Robert L. Dunn & Everett P. Harry, Modeling
and Discounting Future Damages, 193
J. Acct. 49, 49-55 (2002).
4. Ibbotson Associates, Stocks, Bonds, Bills and Inflation
(SBBI) 2005 Yearbook: Valuation
Edition 41 (Michael W. Barad ed., Ibbotson Associates
2005).
5. Pratt, supra note 1, at 68.
6. Shannon P. Pratt, Valuing a Business 211 (McGraw-Hill,
4th ed. 2000)
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